Investing
What is Decode Investing?
Decode investing is a set of tools that help investors discover opportunities and identify risks in the stock market.
Why did you build Decode Investing?
Value investing is a form of investing used by some of the most successful investors in the world, but there is a lack of mainstream adoption of value investing. It is simple in concept but difficult to put into practice. I wanted to help make value investing more accessible to the average investor.
Phil Town started a movement with Rule One Investing, he made value investing approachable and practical, he put it in a way that anyone can learn and apply it successfully. A problem I noticed is that there is a lack of modern software tools for Value Investing. Most existing tools have not kept up with advancements in technology and software development.
I want to help pass on this amazing principle and strategy called Value Investing to a new generation of Investors. I want to use the best technologies available today to build the best modern software tools for the next generation of value investors.
Are you an Investment Education company?
No, we are a software company, our first goal is to build great software tools that make it easy for anyone to apply sound investing principles and make great investment returns. Our product is still in a very early beta version, but we are iterating very fast and making improvements.
What resources do you recommend to learn more about modern value investing?
If Value Investing is so good why isn’t everyone doing it?
What algorithms are you using to rank companies on your website?
Decode Investing employs a robust algorithm to auto-analyze all US public companies, ranking them based on their historical fundamentals over a 10-year period. This analysis aims to provide an estimated valuation for each stock using the company’s financial history.
Daily Leaderboard
Each day, the site generates a leaderboard showcasing the highest-ranked US public companies according to their fundamentals. This list is updated daily as new financial records (10-Ks, 10-Qs) are indexed and analyzed. You can view the leaderboard here.
Analytical Process
The algorithm evaluates companies through various steps to generate a comprehensive value score, which serves as an overall rating of the business’s fundamentals. The value score is composed of the ROIC score, debt score, and moat score.
1. ROIC Score
- Assesses the company’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) over the past ten years.
- Each year is individually scored. A year with ROIC of 10% or above receives a perfect score.
- The overall ROIC score is the mean of all yearly scores.
2. Debt Score
- Measures the effectiveness of the company’s debt management.
- Calculated from the debt payoff value, which is the time required to pay off current long-term debt using free cash flow.
- A perfect debt score is achieved if long-term debt is zero.
3. Management Score
- Represents the management’s performance, combining 80% of the ROIC score and 20% of the debt score.
4. Moat Score
- Evaluates the company's competitive advantage through historical CAGR growth rates, including revenue, operating cash flow, and net income.
- A perfect moat score requires consistent growth rates of 10% or above over one, three, five, seven, and ten years.
5. Value Score
- Represents the overall fundamentals of a company, combining 50% moat score and 50% management score.
Leaderboard Details
The ranking system follows Rule One investing principles. Companies on the leaderboard must have a value score between 100% and 90% and at least five years of financial history.
Margin-Of-Safety Price
A fair value and margin-of-safety price are calculated using a simplified DCF method. This includes:
- An estimate of the 10-year growth rate.
- Future PE of the business.
- Current EPS (ttm).
The default growth rate is capped at 20% to prevent overly optimistic assumptions.
Payback Time
Payback time measures how long it will take to recoup investment capital from free cash flow:
- Calculated by projecting free cash flow growth until it equals the market cap.
- A payback time of 10 years or less is ideal, with 5 years being an extreme bargain.
For more detailed insights, check out How Decode Investing's Ranking Algorithm Works: A Deep Dive 🚀 and How to calculate the true value of a business.
This algorithm provides a powerful tool for analyzing and ranking public companies, helping investors make more informed decisions. Feel free to explore the leaderboard and leverage these insights for your investment strategies!